Proof That Rigged Polls Are Oversampling Democrats

From September 1 to October 13, the Reuters/Ipsos poll has been gradually and incrementally oversampling Democrats and undersampling Republicans as a percentage of likely voters:

oversample

Note that this isn’t showing a secular change in voter party identification year-after-year. It shows an oversampling bias for one party over a period of weeks. The number of likely voters did not suddenly become 18% more Democrat in six weeks time.

If you can’t see the graph clearly, click here for a zoom-in version.

Why would polling outfits rig their results to favor Hillary “thecunt” Clinton? My theory is the simplest explanation: the people who run the polling companies, and the techies who administer the polls, are in the tank for thecunt. It doesn’t even have to be deliberate; if the personal emotional affinity for thecunt, or the antagonism for Herr Trump, is strong enough it can subconsciously guide pollsters to produce distorted data that is readily rationalized later as, say, “reflecting the changing composition of an electorate in flux”.

Another now-plausible post-WikiLeaks theory: thecunt’s surrogates are bribing pollsters to boost thecunt’s numbers.

The next question is, “how do rigged polls help thecunt? If she’s losing in reality, rigged polls will just make her more blissfully ignorant of her incoming defeat.”

The answer lies in the psychology of humans, and is related to Game and picking up women. If you create a perception of success or desirability, the voters (women) will assume you are going to win (bed them), and will paradoxically make your path to victory smoother.

There is a school of thought that says poll rigging can hurt more than it helps, by instilling in thecunt’s degenerate freak mafia a smug complacency about her inevitable victory, which will depress turnout as her supporters stay home to passively watch her victory unfold. I don’t buy this. It’s a misunderstanding of human nature, specifically the part of human nature which loves to “crush your enemies and see them driven before you”. If thecunt’s supporters feel emboldened by favorable polls, they will be MORE likely to swarm the voting booths to get a chance to participate in the bloodbath.

No, let’s dispel with this notion that the rigged system is a stroke of providence that will hurt thecunt in the end. The rigged system operatives know exactly what they’re doing, and that is why Trump is right to call them out on it.

Big ol’ rigged polls serve thecunt in three ways:

  1. Perception of desirability/success/inevitability.
  2. Demoralization of Trump supporters. (Bad polls can depress turnout for the candidate who is behind)
  3. Most importantly, rigged polls give cover to thecunt conglomerate to engage in vote fraud.

On that last point, the calculus works like this: If the polls are accurate and going into the election there is a small MOE difference between thecunt and Trump, then it would be harder for thecunt to pull off vote fraud without Trump contesting it and shining a light on all the DNC crookedness. If, otoh, the clown world polls are rigged and going into Election Day thecunt leads by double digits, (even if in reality she’s tied with Trump), then committing vote fraud becomes a lot more plausibly deniable, (media hack: “oh come now, trumpenpleb, why would the hillary campaign commit vote fraud when all the polls showed her coasting to victory?”).

This is really the usefulness of the rigged polls to thecunt: demoralization and perception manipulation don’t usually have the massive impact to alter election outcomes in multiple battleground states, but vote fraud….now we’re cooking with gas! It’s easy to understand all the working parts of this rigged system if you keep one thing in mind: the media and all its adjuncts and subsidiaries and information pipelines and channels are a propaganda arm of thecunt campaign.

***

This is a good time to remember that the polls got it wrong about the GOP landslide in the 2014 midterms. Why? Because the polls were SKEWED TOWARD DEMOCRAT TURNOUT. Which was the SAME GIGO ERROR the pollsters are making now, leading up to America’s Last Election.

***

Ang Aamer comments,

Actually there is a fairly straightforward explanation of this bias.

Most polls construct their samples based on a subset representative of the population you want information on. We have had two presidential cycles where there has been historic African American participation in the presidential election. Since a pollster would like to sample the voter population that will show up on Nov 8th. The percentages of voters who showed up in 2008 and 2012 would normally be a good guide.

BUT, we are also coming off of historic off year elections in 2010 and 2014 where this African American voting block DID NOT show up to the polls. The effects of these elections are so disparate that pollsters SHOULD find some sample methodology that would be the average of 2008,2010,2012 and 2014.

Now the inside baseball, everyone in politics knows that Killary will NOT get Obama 2008 and 2012 numbers. But they don’t know how close the numbers will be to 2010 and 2014. So they hedge their bets and take a point in the middle.

With me so far? Ok so if you are corrupt and you KNOW that nobody has the answer for the sample percentages what do you do? That’s right you stack the deck with people who will say that 2016 will be like 2012 and 2008!!! You stack the deck so well and convince the sample constructors so much that everyone herds along and puts their sample construction at 2008/2012 numbers.This thumb pressing on the scales is deliberate manipulation at one point in the polling execution that is high impact low deception detection. AND it’s defense-able!! Nobody knows “for sure” that Killary won’t get Obama numbers. So it’s easy to convince the weak minded that she will.

But the killer in all this is the AMOUNT of thumb pressing the sample creators had to do to get Hillary up in their polls!!! Right now the pollsters are assuming a voter population EXACTLY like 2008! They are assuming the first AA president enthusiasm! And they will be wrong. But what may happen is an opposite effect of the enthusiasm going into the R column instead of the D column. This could not only swing the 5 point thumb pressing margin. But add another 5 points in the opposite direction! Which of course would yield a Dilbert Landslide outcome.

THIS is why Killary was shrieking about why she is not ahead by 50 points. She was projecting a very real fear. If 2016 is NOT going have turnouts like 2008 she will need that wide margin in the polls to win. Since she is not ahead by wide margins there IS A REAL possibility that turnout not in keeping with 2008/2012 will lead to defeat.

I have always felt in my “gut” that Scott Adams was right about the landslide. But I always chuckled that such a margin was not possible. And in reality IT SHOULD NOT BE. But if the polls are fudged by the margins I think they are. AND Trump gets the enthusiasm like Obama 2008 in his column. It just might be a landslide of epic proportions, like Regan in 1980. No one saw 1980 coming either.

Revolutions (and enthusiasm gaps) have a nasty habit of messing up the Big Data nerdos’ models and forecasts. And revealing to the world the schemers putting their thumbs on the scales.





Comments


  1. My mentor always told me, if you torture the data enough, you can get it to confess to anything…

    Liked by 4 people


    • on October 20, 2016 at 8:16 pm Captain Obvious

      The University of East Anglia Climatic Research Unit says, “Hello!”

      Liked by 2 people


    • Perhaps. However, I will wait till long after the Nov 8th election I think. If Trump wins, HRC and mafia take it to court legally. If HRC wins, Trump does the same. This is election may be over before Christmas.

      Also, I have a hard time buying that this many polls will have Trump down based solely on personal bias. I think it would be routed out.

      538 blog is one of many I read. Don’t care how this sits with any here. They do good work. The thing is, Trump does appear to be down in the polls. And seems to have a very difficult time adjusting to speaking politically. At the same point, I understand the media, DNC, Hollywood, and others are all in on HRC. Willing to fire bomb, slash tires, and register at graveyards.

      This is the worst election in history. Certainly in my memory. And that is Trump’s biggest problem. People, in larger numbers than this site will admit, just don’t like him.

      Like


      • on October 21, 2016 at 2:08 am carlos danger

        Good points, but what really matters is the perception of disenfranchisement that they generate and the degree of volatility that sense of disenfranchisement contains. You see, your ilk isn’t well thought of either and we have more baseball bats. Watching that Al Smith dinner video, I didn’t see anyone I felt inferior to either physically, culturally, or mentally, nor who deserved to be there over me. See how this works?

        Like


      • on October 21, 2016 at 2:26 am carlos danger

        Just remember, those burly white guys you’re depending on to save you in your bunker in New Zealand once the money you have becomes worthless are deplorables too.

        Like


      • I would say this: 35% of Americans are neutral/lukewarm about Trump, 35% of Americans fucking LOVE Trump (mostly white males) and 30% of American dislike Trump (mostly minorities/dumb women). The indifference of the first 35% will ensure a Trump victory. There won’t be enough Hillary votes.

        Nobody is enthusiastic about Hillary. Except for a few left-handed black lesbians.

        Like


      • Fuck off with this Nate Silver 538 BS. He was wrong about Trump and admitted it was because of his bias.

        Link in mod… search 538 Trump and wrong…

        [CH: skypes gonna skype (and the signal is breaking up).]

        Liked by 1 person


      • “538 blog is one of many I read. Don’t care how this sits with any here. They do good work”

        Except when theyre shilling and dead wrong.

        (((Nate silver))) is owned by the MSM now and 538 is comprimised.

        Get up to speed with the truth there…

        Like


      • on October 21, 2016 at 10:35 am Difference maker

        Lol how can you guys miss obvious propaganda

        Nate Silver, always wrong!

        “People don’t like him” is just a meme spread by never Trump cucks and the media. Perception creates reality, and the weak minded are forming an opinion based on lies

        Liked by 1 person


      • I strongly disagree with your last paragraph. This is the BEST election in my lifetime and probably in American history. Usually you have two establishment , typical politicians against each other who are more alike than not. The ruling elite could live with either one winning. This is the first election pitting the ruling class globalists against the “deplorables”. We also have never had a candidate run so fiercely against political correctness. The Hillary vs Jeb Bush election you people wanted would have been the WORST election ever! What we have now is great and I’m loving every second of it.

        [CH: big cosign]

        Liked by 3 people


      • The polls are beyond 3 standard deviations from an accurate poll based on voter turnout demographics from the past four elections.

        That means the MSM and many universities are deliberately skewing their polls for HRC for propaganda purposes.

        With a legitimate likely voters model, any recent poll’s data suggests a 4-5 pt lead for Trump.

        Like


      • LOL. Typical reactions I expect from here. “You’re a cuck!” You’re gonna get beaten by white guys…XYZ comment here!” Blah, bliggity blah.

        I get it, you all slide up and down the Trump poll. Just like DNC types carry their blinders down Shillary’s Poll hole. I don’t care.

        Either way the election goes, we all lose. But keep the hate coming. It really hurts my feelings. Hahahahahahahahahaha

        Like


      • Good to see this guy don’t care so much.

        Imagine the vapidity of his posts if’n he did.

        Liked by 1 person


      • It appears that your boy Trump is up in several states early voting. FL, OH, VA, AZ. The only consolation prize for me is that Shillary does not win. I really think most everyone, other than here, feels the same. Trump is clearly the lesser of two inept evils. Shillary is by far the most criminal candidate we have had the public has known of while running.

        Like


      • If he wins VA, thecunt is in trouble.

        Is this likely?

        Like


    • Im young, some would say too young, and i see a lot of people giving up hope.

      But i think, that even if you BELIEVE hillary is going to win be comiiting mass voter fraud , judicial fraud and electoral college fraud, you should STILL GO OUT AND VOTE… you know why?

      Because when you are out in public, you will meet many like minded people, and some of those people might become your friends, then you become 2 instead of 1, then 10 instead of 2. And even if the libtards defeat your choice in the Presidential Elections, YOU WILL STILL BE HERE.

      YOUR GROUP WILL STILL BE HERE.

      And all you need to partake in the revolution is YOU and YOUR FRIENDS.

      Don’t be alone, meet your fellows.

      Liked by 1 person


  2. […] Proof That Rigged Polls Are Oversampling Democrats […]

    Like


  3. Will there be any way to stop or reveal massive systemic voter fraud, or are we sunk? What if they’ve made efforts to coordinate this centrally, with plausible deniability?

    Like


  4. What gives me hope is that there are SOME polls that are accurate (I believe Rasmussen and LA Times are pretty accurate. Coincidentally, these are the polls Nate Silver discards as “problematic in their methodology”). These polls are still giving Trump a (precarious need it be said) lead of around 1-2 percentage points. As long as these polls don’t move into Hillary’s favour, I think we are good.

    On the other hand, it makes you wonder how short-sighted all the MSM pollsters and pundits must be. They don’t seem to realize that they are playing the violins in a sinking ship. People are already sick of them and the establishment. I would bet even a good 60% of those who will vote for her don’t trust them. Hence that leaves them with, what, 20% of the population still believing them? How many of those are over 70? This gives them a lifespan of maybe 6-8 years that they will be profitable.

    After that who is going to feed us propaganda? Makes you think that a war is their last chance to sort of bring all the sheep back under the shepherd’s control. However this doesn’t seem to fly either. People will not blindly go to die any more for an ideal that has betrayed them. Who will fight for the US when the “US” has fucked you over for decades and has the audacity to call you a bigot,deplorable? The leftists are cowards and will not fight the war either.

    I think at this point their only solution will be to go against their own people. I.e. civil war. You only had to listen.

    Like


  5. Thank you for this post CH. You’re 100% correct. I’ve been telling this to all of my MAGA friends and Bernout supporters that the point is demoralization: to make you give up, to throw in the towel.
    Never give up, never surrender!

    Liked by 2 people


  6. Reddit bros uncover source of false pedo allegations against Julian “The White Wizard” Assange

    Liked by 2 people


    • Apologies for the long post; tried to insert a link

      Like


    • This is their standard smear tactic — allege some sexual misconduct, ranging from “sexual harrasment” to groping / sexual assault to rape to kiddiepr0n . . .

      It hits all the right buttons.

      Woven through CH’s theories of Game, race, and politics is the basic premise that we’re all fundamentally sexual animals; it’s how we’re biologically programmed.

      Allegations of “sex charges” are difficult to disprove and defend against. Barring a semen-stained dress, it’s usually a he-said-she-said situation, or something even more nebulous like naughty pictures in digital data (“trust us, goyim, he’s a very bad, bad person – we found 6 million photos of kiddiepr0n on his computer, lock him up and throw away the key!”).

      Moreover, they strike at the heart of our primal instincts and are therefore an easy way to manipulate emotions and distract from attempts at a logical, rational examination of the facts.

      That’s how we end up with Julian Assange hiding out in the Ecuadorean Embassy for 5 years trying to avoid a “rapey rape rape!” charge that he (probably rightly) suspected was a mere front for getting some globalist government mitts on him to extradite him to some alphabet agency black-site for reprogramming. And even while he’s hiding in the Embassy, they’re cooking up more “sexy sex sex crime!” charges against him.

      Fucking psychopaths.

      We’re gonna need more ovens.

      Liked by 1 person


      • If I ever became the King of the World I would pass one absolute law…..

        No woman can allege ”sexual harassment/assault” without a shitload of evidence that she can prove in a court of law. No woman may tarnish an innocent man’s reputation and get away with it. Every woman who makes a false rape accusation should have her eyes gouged out and her hands lopped off.

        Like


      • That’s almost EXACTLY what sharia is like, rofl.

        Like


    • Keep digging bro. Great work.

      Also props to O’Keefe for filing suit with the FEC against HRC campaign.

      Ther people are awake and aware…la revolution is neigh

      Like


  7. The answer lies in the psychology of humans, and is related to Game and picking up women. If you create a perception of success or desirability, the voters (women) will assume you are going to win (bed them), and will paradoxically make your path to victory smoother.

    Poll favorability also generates social proof, which is especially potent with women.

    Adding to the effects on Trump supporters, losing polls also (1) deter people, such as authority-type figures, from speaking in his favor public (such as in the media) because the risk to them doing so is higher if he loses, (2) deter talented professionals from joining his campaign to help, (3) deter money contributions (by making expected value of payoff appear lower.

    I’d say these factors are more important than the fraud issue.

    Like


    • maybe not much to do about (1), but i would hope that the talented professionals looking to join his campaign would do so regardless of the polls due to their truly believing in maga, and as for (3), well….good thing trump has a lot of Fuck You and tu madre money.

      Like


    • So true, or has been for decades. That’s why even the R’s were scrambling and confused to watch him capture the nomination. He wasn’t “the party appointed.” That’s been both side’s go-to gig for decades. Turn the money, support, connections on and off to favor the anointed so much others had no chance. They literally could not (and still cannot) compute while they worked the usual one-two gig, the sands had shifted considerably and the Don had changed their game in an unprecedented way (fingers crossed for a landslide.) A ninja coup of sorts. The guy is smart. Very.

      Liked by 1 person


      • I love how Jeb! spent over $200 million to be a big fucking loser.

        Lolz!

        he probably cried himself to sleep into his beaner wifes ratty hair every night

        Liked by 2 people


  8. And the GOP collaborates in this charade. I say it again: Vote for Trump but against every other GOP traitor this November 8. I’m voting 3rd party every where possible but I am willing to vote democrat to punish some of those GOP scumbags that have come out against Trump or abandoned him in the last few weeks.

    Then, when the dust settles, we either have Trump as President or we start a new party.

    Liked by 1 person


    • You need to be selective about it though. Still vote for pro-gunners in house and senate where possible (they don’t all have that R by their name, check the NRA’s list for your local area).

      Liked by 2 people


    • The key word is “traitor”.

      If you live in Alabama, keep Jeff Sessions.

      If you live in Wisconsin, toss out Paul Ryan.

      I’m sure we all can figure out which side of the line our congresscritters are on.

      To be fair, I’d recommend “keep” if you’re not sure their attitude toward Trump, but Pussygate made it very easy for us to figure out who goes in the “toss” bin.

      Liked by 3 people


    • Right. If they endorsed Trump, and didn’t pussy out and signal against him during the past couple weeks (at a minimum they should have just kept their mouth shut), they’re probably worth keeping around.

      Liked by 1 person


    • I just got my ballot today in POZ-Washington and had a great deal of fun doing write-ins for everything after voting for Trump. Some of my choices were Harambe, Deez Nuts, Aladdin, Jeff Goldblum, Pedro, McLovin, Hamburglar, the Crocodile Hunter, Alex Trebek, Alfred Lord Tennyson, T.E. Lawrence, Pepe Frog (natch), Carrot Top, Joe Pesci, Debate Fly, the prophet Muhammad (PBUH), and Optimus Prime.

      Like


  9. I thought Trump last night showed good game…indifference and outcome independence.
    If you vote for her you’ll get 4 more years of the same shit. Take it or leave it (walks off)

    Don…come back! Okay okay..you got my vote.

    Liked by 1 person


  10. I heard Lou Dobbs say tonight that in Mexico in order to vote you must have a photo voter ID card. He joked sarcastically ” so are they racist against themselves?”

    Liked by 2 people


  11. Actually there is a fairly straightforward explanation of this bias.

    Most polls construct their samples based on a subset representative of the population you want information on. We have had two presidential cycles where there has been historic African American participation in the presidential election. Since a pollster would like to sample the voter population that will show up on Nov 8th. The percentages of voters who showed up in 2008 and 2012 would normally be a good guide.

    BUT, we are also coming off of historic off year elections in 2010 and 2014 where this African American voting block DID NOT show up to the polls. The effects of these elections are so disparate that pollsters SHOULD find some sample methodology that would be the average of 2008,2010,2012 and 2014.

    Now the inside baseball, everyone in politics knows that Killary will NOT get Obama 2008 and 2012 numbers. But they don’t know how close the numbers will be to 2010 and 2014. So they hedge their bets and take a point in the middle.

    With me so far? Ok so if you are corrupt and you KNOW that nobody has the answer for the sample percentages what do you do? That’s right you stack the deck with people who will say that 2016 will be like 2012 and 2008!!! You stack the deck so well and convince the sample constructors so much that everyone herds along and puts their sample construction at 2008/2012 numbers.This thumb pressing on the scales is deliberate manipulation at one point in the polling execution that is high impact low deception detection. AND it’s defense-able!! Nobody knows “for sure” that Killary won’t get Obama numbers. So it’s easy to convince the weak minded that she will.

    But the killer in all this is the AMOUNT of thumb pressing the sample creators had to do to get Hillary up in their polls!!! Right now the pollsters are assuming a voter population EXACTLY like 2008! They are assuming the first AA president enthusiasm! And they will be wrong. But what may happen is an opposite effect of the enthusiasm going into the R column instead of the D column. This could not only swing the 5 point thumb pressing margin. But add another 5 points in the opposite direction! Which of course would yield a Dilbert Landslide outcome.

    THIS is why Killary was shrieking about why she is not ahead by 50 points. She was projecting a very real fear. If 2016 is NOT going have turnouts like 2008 she will need that wide margin in the polls to win. Since she is not ahead by wide margins there IS A REAL possibility that turnout not in keeping with 2008/2012 will lead to defeat.

    I have always felt in my “gut” that Scott Adams was right about the landslide. But I always chuckled that such a margin was not possible. And in reality IT SHOULD NOT BE. But if the polls are fudged by the margins I think they are. AND Trump gets the enthusiasm like Obama 2008 in his column. It just might be a landslide of epic proportions, like Regan in 1980. No one saw 1980 coming either.

    Like


  12. on October 20, 2016 at 8:27 pm Ominous Cowherd

    CH, I’m trying to understand that graph. Percentage of likely voters for the candidate on the vertical axis, difference between r and d on the horizontal, but what do the colors mean?

    Can we attach dates to this scatter plot, and see change over time?

    Like


    • It doesn’t have a change over time. It only shows the correlations between oversampling of Democrats (x-axis) vs. support for thecunt vs. Trump (y-axis, blue for thecunt, red for Trump)

      Like


      • on October 20, 2016 at 9:07 pm Ominous Cowherd

        So, do the dots come in pairs? Two per poll, one for Trump and one for the Cunt? I think it’s making sense to me now.

        If we could plot the oversampling versus time, it might be interesting to correlate the changes to events.

        Like


    • on October 20, 2016 at 10:30 pm Ominous Cowherd

      One more question about the cool graph: is this raw data, or are the numbers adjusted to match assumed voter turnout?

      Like


    • “I want to warn my fellow Republicans: Today the goyim may find out that (((we))) have fucked them over for 50 years. Tomorrow they will gas us like (((we))) deserve” Marco Rubio

      Wise words from a friend in the Giant Globalist World Order. Skypes of all stripes need to stand united against the goyim.

      Like


  13. [CH: tell me that’s an alt-right meme and not reality.]

    Liked by 2 people


  14. The 2014 midterms were hilarious, if only to see Matthews’ frowning mug throughout the night. He had a fit the whole night with each R that wasn’t supposed to win and did. (Then the R’s go ahead and bend over for obummer to do as he please.)

    But the thing about midterms is they always have poor turnout and I’d say even poor turnout for shitlibs. It’s not as sexy as the prezzie election and most of them just don’t bother. Shit, most of them don’t even know they’re even happening.

    I recall some people at work not understanding that there were elections going on, saying, wasn’t that two years ago or some shit. It’s those dolts that only show up every four years. But who knows if they’ll be enthused this year. Maybe, since white knights hoping for some poon for the first time in their lives can say they voted for thecunt, while the girl who’s captured their heart has already bowling balled the jerkboy from the polling station with the MAGA hat.

    Like


  15. Yeah my mistake — I thought that graph was showing a change over time during that time period, but it looks to be a snapshot of all polls during that time period, plotting out their Dem+ (or in rare cases Rep+) weighting.

    Still, interesting to see the overwhelming Dem+ bias, which roughly appears to be a Dem+ 9. Seems overly optimistic for the Cunt’s turnout.

    Like


  16. on an unrelated note, everyone needs to see Trump’s roast of Hillary at the Al Smith dinner today. Far more entertaining than the last debate

    Like


  17. you guys should see this. around 76:00 Trump comes on and then just starts crushing Hillarys bones in his teeth. no apologies. full. fucking. shitlord.

    Liked by 2 people


    • The facial reactions of the people behind him make it. At first, they’re all oh so jocular, but when Trump starts making it real, the googly eyes and flop sweat give the game away.

      Like


      • Who are the two fancy boys sitting behind Trump, on his right and left? Reacting to Trump, their facial expressions range from constipation to suppressing diarrhea.

        Like


      • Who’s tits are those behind him?!?

        Like


      • @Sentient….those tits belong to Maria Bartiromo.

        Liked by 2 people


      • Maria is one of the few who openly likes Trump in that audience. She is also ostracized by their parochial American cow wives and gets it. These People are indeed all peasants in Gucci and that knowledge is not lost on them either.

        Like


    • on October 21, 2016 at 2:39 am carlos danger

      BTW, for you young guys trying to get ahead, its observations like these made by PJ above that give your social status position away. You only see these details if you work in management or have attended functions like this. This is game at work too, BTW.

      Like


      • Game skills == Life skills

        Like


      • one should work hard and be successful/financially independent specifically so they can avoid going to phony events like these, and sucking on the tiny cocks of the (((gatekeepers))).

        unless you’re running for president. in which case you go full WWF and use it as an opportunity to rub the lying, sycophantic elites’ faces in their own shit, as DJT just did here.

        Like


      • on October 21, 2016 at 9:48 am Carlos Danger

        I’m with ya there. I hate these functions where everyone is pretending to be friends while looking for a chink in the armor to sink in the dagger.

        Like


    • on October 21, 2016 at 7:10 am average chump

      It’s clear that Trump was the outsider in this event, and its also clear to anyone watching through youtube, television or wherever, that this man isn’t there to please that audience of oligarchs and elites. He’s there to appeal to the casual viewer, your typical American.

      it’s also impressive to see in real time the subtle physical reactions of those who essentially rule this country becoming displeased and uncomfortable. Similar to the Grabocaust scandal, this event merely shows that Donald Trump, while very rich, is in fact one of us and that the members of the elite do in fact hate him.

      Like


    • Donald could have been a great stand-up comic.

      Like


    • bahaha that was epic. The look on the guys face to the right priceless. He went into battle mode

      Like


  18. I’m sure many or most of you have already seen the clip of Obama ‘warning’ about Trump’s unwillingness to concede and how ‘dangerous’ such talk is.

    Is there any clearer indication that Preznit Fuccboi Cryalot knows his peeps would lose a post-election Road War?

    Like


  19. the problem is the cucks. The fucking dickless gop class. They need to vote for our Sith Shitlord supreme or else those charts are meaningless.

    If trump is even with that polling sample, it shows he’s winning moderates but can’t seal deal with GOP Cucks.

    Liked by 1 person


  20. This truly is White America’s last election. Even if Trump wins, White America is already demographically finished. The only chance for our racial survival on this continent is the creation of a White ethnostate – with the chance of total reconquest later once we have the opportunity to nurture our strength. In this, Harold Covington is ahead of the curve.

    Like


    • I just started reading T.E. Lawrence’s “Seven Pillars of Wisdom.” A nationalist revolt is certainly possible… if we’re strong enough and we want it enough. (And we get a little help from friends– Russia– and WW3 breaks out and makes an opening.)

      Liked by 1 person


  21. Goofy Elizabeth Warren…lolz

    Liked by 2 people


    • This made me ponder about when the last time Hillary Clinton did anything “fair and square”. She got fired from her first gig out of law school (watergate investigation) for being dishonest and unethical. So if a time actually exists, it is likely before 1973.

      So the best case scenario is that she has been a crooked bitch for at least 43 years. I wouldn’t be at all surprised at all to learn that she was rotten in the womb. Sociopaths are born not raised.

      Liked by 1 person


    • What an absolute joke that woman is. Mrs. Anti-establishment going all in for the most establishment candidate there’s ever been.

      Liked by 2 people


  22. You guys are in for a major disappointment. The polls reweight their samples to census and socioeconomic data, so unless the census and socioeconomic data is biased, the poll averages accurately reflect reality.

    LA-Times reweight according to self-declared vote in 2012, but early voting in North Carolina and Florida, where Trump HAS to win, shows him trailing Romney.

    The latest national polls are mixed, but Rasmussen was way off in 2012, whereas LA-Times was correct (it was called something else back then).

    The best gauge of the actual situation is the average, and right now the money is on Trump getting obliterated. Fucking AZ and UT for Christ’s sakes.

    The only thing going for Trump is a fanatically loyal base of 40 percent. That is the army that the next GOP leader must tame and mobilize.

    Like


    • The only thing going for Trump is a fanatically loyal base of 40 percent. That is the army that the next GOP leader must tame and mobilize.

      We don’t need “taming.”

      Liked by 4 people


      • Given the sheer magnitude of stupidity and lack of intellectual rigor, then, yes you do.

        Trump is too dumb a messenger for Trumpism. Buchanan was too early (and a little too off. The anti-Churchill stuff wasn’t tactically bright).

        Rubio would’ve been fine if he’d led the charge against Gang-of-8 instead of for it.

        My guess is Scott Walker is our best shot.

        Like


      • “Scott Walker is our best shot, goyim, er, I mean my fellow Whites.”

        Like the disparity between the demographics of the working, tax-paying population versus the population as a whole, your low-agency niggers and Bern-victims aren’t coming out to vote for The Cunt in anywhere near the numbers they did for the Magic Mulatto.

        Liked by 2 people


      • on October 21, 2016 at 7:23 am average chump

        “Given the sheer magnitude of stupidity and lack of intellectual rigor…”

        @Paideia, are you a nigger?

        Liked by 1 person


      • Trump aint gonna lose cuz blacks.

        He is going to lose because most college educated whites havent taken the red pill.

        Hope Im wrong. But this poll unskewing is an exact replay of Dick Morris level hamsterizing.

        Once Trump entered the race it was his to lose. Not even Cruz couldve beaten him one on one. But for the general, you need brainwashed college educated bitches. They arent ready for Trump/Buchanan levels of redpilling.

        Like


    • What’s your angle? Are you looking forward to living in Brazil meets North Korea meets South Africa?

      Paideia, hmmm, where have I heard that before?

      Liked by 3 people


    • ROFL.

      You can lie about the massive oversampling.

      You can lie about voter enthusiasm.

      You can lie about her pay to play.

      You can lie about her warmongering.

      You can lie about her health.

      You can lie about her emails.

      Heck, you can lie about anything you want.

      …..But you can’t make us believe you, Mr. Brock.

      Media matters rape!

      Liked by 3 people


    • Trump 2016: because the JIDF is panicking.

      Mossad rape!

      Liked by 1 person


    • on October 21, 2016 at 7:16 am average chump

      Sorry bud. All polls, due to their statistical nature, are necessarily susceptible to the Problem of Induction, including the averages. Forecasting elections is just as impossible as forecasting financial and economic events – people who think they can do such a thing are charlatans not professionals.

      The ONLY poll that reflects reality is the one that occurs on November 8th. Anything beyond that is in fact pontificating bull shit.

      Liked by 1 person


    • Heres what I dont understand. In 2008, Obongo posters were everywhere.

      I dont see HRC anything, anywhere….

      And remember Bernie? He was destroying HRC in the primary. And now its proven it was rigged against him.

      You look at social media, Trump dominates there. And social media is mostly utilized by women and younger people.

      The rot of corruption is deep to the bone.

      Liked by 1 person


      • Same here… was a ton of Sanders signs in the hipster areas… now… never see a Hillary sign… Do see some Trump signs where I would expect to. And starting to see more Trump bumper stickers…

        She really is such a terrible candidate… the Dems chose the Republican playbook of “next man up” and anointed her in 2008 for backing off O… So…. they got a Dole, McCain, Romney candidate out of it…

        Liked by 1 person


      • Yesterday I saw a Jeep that had a Trump/Pence sticker on the spare tire.

        That pumped me up as I was driving to work. First Trump/Pence sticker I’ve seen in such an area, where most cars have the imwithherpes sticker.

        Funny thing is, when you see that sticker, you almost always see the gay flag sticker too.

        Liked by 1 person


  23. on October 21, 2016 at 5:32 am Divine Son of Kek

    I’ve said for months that black apathy and Bernie bro butthurt are going to fuck over Hillary.

    Liked by 3 people


    • on October 21, 2016 at 5:40 am Divine Son of Kek

      2008 was Hill’s opportunity.

      She knows that, and I think she’ll always harbor more resentment towards DL Barry than Trump.

      Liked by 1 person


    • Two blacks I work with told me they are voting for Trump. They like that his tells it like it is.

      Liked by 2 people


      • ““Donald Trump is what Americans love. Donald Trump is what Americans aspire to be — rich, powerful, do what you wanna do, say what you wanna say, be how you wanna be,” the rapper-actor said about Trump’s appeal. “That’s kind of been like the American dream. He looks like a boss to everybody, and Americans love to have a boss.”

        —– Ice Cube

        Read more: http://www.thepoliticalinsider.com/famous-rapper-donald-trump-is-what-americans-love/#ixzz4NjW37s7k

        Like


      • “I know him,” the boxer told the Daily Beast. “When I see him, he shakes my hand and respects my family. None of them – Barack, whoever – nobody else does that. They’re gonna be who they are and disregard me, my family.

        “So I’m voting for him. If I can get 20,000 people or more to vote for him, I’m gonna do it.”

        —- Mike Tyson

        Like


      • Azealia Banks

        On Twitter, the rapper recently advocated for a Trump presidency, saying, “I think Trump is the only one who truly has the balls to bust up big business. Hillary [Clinton] is too tied in with them and Bernie [Sanders] has no clout.”

        Like


      • on October 21, 2016 at 9:59 am Carlos Danger

        Well if Iggy Azalea said it, then I’m down widdit!

        Like


      • Different Azalea, Carlos.

        And to that note: what the hell is Iggy Azalea? Is the an albino google or some odd mix of WTF?

        She’s so odd looking.

        Liked by 1 person


      • So many trump fans. My buddy relayed this story:

        One of his plates and him were texting about politics. The girl, who cheated on her cuck of a husband with my buddy (my buddy didnt know and ended it when he found out) seems like a typical liberal party girl. She said this:

        “I like Trump. I would rather vote for a man with pussy juice on his hands, than blood on his hands”

        the hotties want you to grab their pussy rape!

        Like


      • I just wanted to post that Video. Its irritating as hell but still clever.

        Liked by 1 person


    • Wikileaks too. Her health her evil her corruption. At least Obongo looks like a million bucks if you’re a blue pilled person looking at him shallowly.

      MSM also shit the bed. They have created a kind of “Barbara Streisand effect” by not being subtle enough in their attempts to stump the Trump. Now, they are even more distrusted than before. (Oh no, that sucks! :/) Also failed at Amused Mastery.

      It also helps that Trump is not an establishment cuck. Beating Dems is easy if you try to win.

      Like


  24. Man, the level of self-delusion and wishful thinking here is extraordinary. All this rigged polls, Trump is winning babble is childish fan-boi nonsense. Political pros have known for weeks that the election is over. It’s about time to man up and face reality.

    Like


  25. Trump needed to get his punches in better. Wallace helped him out twice and Trump thanked him. A Ron Paul or Newt would have destroyed her more.
    Trump has never brought up Bill Clinton repealing Glass-Steagell…which created the conditions for the 2008 crash. Trump never brings up the Fed Reserve and who owns it and it’s fraudulent operation.

    Liked by 1 person


    • No question that jaw-jaw and debating aren’t Trump’s strongest qualities.

      Ron Paul would never get anywhere near the nomination and Gingrich would be a globalist sell-out no matter how good he would have at the debate; so I’ll take Det Trump over both of them.

      Liked by 4 people


    • His advisors probably told him to lay of the Slick Willy bashing, because the libshits came up with a talking point to deflect that: “Hillary is running for president, not Bill”. It’s retarded and fallacious, but it resonates with the type of Demwits who vote Dem.

      Like


  26. Rewatched the debate with an old boomer Hillarian “feminist”, a dyed-the-pubes Corbynista, in attendance (don’t want to fall into echochamber smugness like Them).
    Apart from the expected scoffing at His appearance (yes, the hair) , His be-bop oratorical style and “OMG he’s literally Hitler!!11!” shit programmed into her by social media, there was only one non-coached genuine personal observation, unprompted.
    “God, she looks really ill. She could barely drag herself off the stage … ” in a hushed, slightly shocked voice.
    This from a woman about the same age as thecunt, so not mistaking inevitable decrepitude for invalidity.

    I’ll not enter the foul crow into my Celebrity Death Sweepstake just yet though. Modern science is infinitely resourceful (I mean an Italian guy claimed he could transplant heads recently. Is that the next step for thecunt, maybe a few months as the first head-in-a-jar opposition politician? Just till a hapless teenage victim is typed for suitability).

    Liked by 2 people


  27. “-in-“, (as if you didn’t know)

    Like


  28. I hope all of this is right, I really do.

    Anecdotally, try this on: I’ve voted in three Presidential elections and voted Kerry / Obama / Obama. (I’ve done a lot of growing up since then, lol.) Now this time, I’m going for Trump and I cannot wait to do so. But I am sure all of those Big Data nerdos would look at me on paper and figure they’ve got a guaranteed Democratic vote right there. Hopefully I am not the only one. I would really prefer this election to be like Reagan in 1980 and not like Goldwater in ’64.

    Like


    • Or like Brexit, where the pollsters just faked to please their masters and to try and buffalo the serfs towards the “inevitable, correct result”, while The People just kept schtum, because we now know the bastards mean us nothing but endless harm, so why tell them anything at all? Say one thing in public, do another in the booth.

      Like


      • Yes. This is exactly the same anti-globalism, anti-elite wave as Brexit.

        They can try to wish it away all they want, they can mock it, lie about whatever… but it won’t be stopped.

        The MSM has permanently fucked itself by going for broke against Trump. It’s done. Ditto for the cuckpublican party. Done.

        Can’t wait for November 8, M8.

        Like


      • Nobody expected Brexit. Except the people.

        Like


      • “The MSM has permanently fucked itself by going for broke against Trump. It’s done. Ditto for the cuckpublican party. Done.”

        This. Losing would be better if Trump wants to destroy traitors. It#s easier to go scorched earth that way.

        Like


  29. I’m obviously missing something here. There exists ample evidence of media and poll corporation collusion with the Clinton campaign and yet we are expected to believe the published results of their polling?

    How does that work, exactly?

    The word of a liar has no value, even if it were true and clearly it isn’t.

    These polls are fraudulent and we will only get a glimpse of just how far off they are on the evening of November 9th.

    Liked by 1 person


  30. I think we should trust the Jew York Times.

    Liked by 1 person


  31. The New York Times website actually has a thing on the front page that states Clinton has a 93% chance of winning. 93%. check it out.

    WHAT THE FUCK? In what parallel universe does she have a 93% chance of winning? She has as much a chance of winning the election as an athlete calling the right side during a coin toss. 50%. Exactly 50%.

    Liked by 1 person


  32. You can add the skewing factor that poll participants are used to responding in a way that is least likely to get them thumped in the face or accused of being a homophobe racist, and for the sake of peace and harmony, respond they will vote Hilary ‘like all sensible people’ Until they get in the privacy of the polling booth that is. Think, ‘Brexit’. Landslide for Trump is my bet.

    Like


  33. Rasmussen has Trump +2 today

    Liked by 1 person


  34. Trump is a SAVAGE – here is a full transcript of his speech roasting Shillary at Alfred Smith dinner

    [*] (UNKNOWN): Donald, the microphone is yours.
    TRUMP: And it’s working. (LAUGHTER)
    Thank you Al. Wow. That was good. Mm. This is a helluva dinner. Well I want to thank Your Eminence. This is really great to be with you again. Beloved Governor Cuomo, our great senators. Hi Chuck. He used to love me when I was a Democrat you know.
    (LAUGHTER)
    Mayor de Blasio. Wherever you are. Where’s Mayor de Blasio? (inaudible) See in the old days I would have know him very well but I haven’t doing so much of the real estate any (ph).
    And I want to thank Al and Ann (ph) Smith, just a fantastic job you do with the dinner. Congratulations on a record – over $6 million, right? He’s got a record.
    (APPLAUSE)
    And a special hello to all of you in this room who have known and loved me for many, many years. It’s true.
    The politicians. They’ve had me to their homes, they’ve introduced me to their children, I’ve become their best friends in many instances. They’ve asked for my endorsement and they always wanted my money. And even called me really a dear, dear friend. But then suddenly, decided when I ran for president as a Republican, that I’ve always been a no-good, rotten, disgusting scoundrel. And they totally forgot about me.
    But that’s OK. You know, they say when you do this kind of an event you always start out with a self-deprecating joke. Some people think this would be tough for me, but the truth is …
    (LAUGHTER)
    It’s true — the truth is I’m actually a modest person. Very modest. It’s true. In fact many people tell me that modesty is perhaps my best quality.
    (LAUGHTER)
    Even better than my temperament.
    (LAUGHTER)
    You know Cardinal Dolan and I have some things in common. For instance, we both run impressive properties on Fifth Avenue. Of course his is much more impressive than mine. That’s because I built mine with my own beautifully formed hands.
    (LAUGHTER)
    While his was built with the hands of God, and nobody can compete with God. Is that correct? Nobody. Right?
    (APPLAUSE)
    That’s right. No contest.
    It’s great to be here with a thousand wonderful people, or, as I call it, a small intimate dinner with some friends. Or as Hillary calls it, her largest crowd of the season.
    (LAUGHTER)
    Ahh, this stuff. This is corny stuff. I do recognize that I come into this event with a little bit of an advantage. I know that so many of you in the archdiocese already have a place in your heart for a guy who started out as a carpenter working for his father. I was a carpenter working for mine.
    (LAUGHTER)
    True. Not for a long period of time but I was. For about three weeks. What’s great about the Al Smith Dinner is that even in the rough and tumble world of a really, really hard-fought campaign – in fact I don’t know if you know Hillary but last night they said, “That was the most vicious debate in the history of politics, presidential debate. The most vicious.”
    And I don’t know – are we supposed to be proud of that or where are we supposed to be on that one. But they did say that and I’m trying to think back to Lincoln. I don’t think we can compete with that. But the candidates have some light-hearted moments together, which is true. I have no doubt that Hillary is going to laugh quite a bit tonight, sometimes even at appropriate moments.
    (LAUGHTER)
    And even tonight, with all of the heated back and forth, between my opponent and me at the debate last night, we have proven that we can actually be civil to each other. In fact, just before taking the dais, Hillary accidentally bumped into me and she very civilly said, “Pardon me.”
    (LAUGHTER)
    And I very politely replied, “Let me talk to you about that after I get into office.”
    (LAUGHTER)
    Just kidding, just kidding. And Hillary was very gracious. She said if somehow she gets elected she wants me to be, without question, either her ambassador to Iraq or to Afghanistan. It’s my choice.
    (LAUGHTER)
    But one of the things I noticed tonight – and I’ve known Hillary for a long time – this is the first time ever, ever, that Hillary is sitting down and speaking to major corporate leaders and not getting paid for it. (LAUGHTER)
    It’s true. It’s true.
    You know, last night, I called Hillary a “nasty woman,” but this stuff is all relative. After listening to Hillary rattle on and on and on, I don’t think so badly of Rosie O’Donnell anymore.
    (LAUGHTER)
    In fact, I’m actually starting to like Rosie a lot.
    (LAUGHTER)
    These events give not only the candidates a chance to be with each other in a very social setting; it also allows the candidates the opportunity to meet the other candidate’s team — good team.
    I know Hillary met my campaign manager, and I got the chance to meet the people who are working so hard to get her elected. There they are — the heads of NBC, CNN, CBS, ABC — there’s the New York Times, right over there, and the Washington Post.
    (LAUGHTER)
    They’re working overtime. True. True.
    (APPLAUSE)
    Oh, this one’s going to get me in trouble.
    (LAUGHTER)
    Not with Hillary. You know, the president told me to stop whining, but I really have to say, the media is even more biased this year than ever before — ever. You want the proof? Michelle Obama gives a speech and everyone loves it — it’s fantastic. They think she’s absolutely great. My wife, Melania, gives the exact same speech —
    (LAUGHTER)
    — and people get on her case.
    (APPLAUSE)
    And I don’t get it. I don’t know why.
    (APPLAUSE)
    And it wasn’t her fault. Stand up, Melania. Come on. She took a lot of abuse.
    (APPLAUSE)
    Oh, I’m in trouble when I go home tonight. I’m — she didn’t know about that one. Am I okay? Is it okay?
    Cardinal, please speak to her.
    (LAUGHTER)
    I’d like to address an important religious matter: the issue of going to confession. Or, as Hillary calls it, the Fourth of July weekend with FBI Director Comey.
    (LAUGHTER)
    Now, I’m told Hillary went to confession before tonight’s event, but the priest was having a hard time, when he asked about her sins, and she said she couldn’t remember 39 times.
    (LAUGHTER)
    Hillary is so corrupt, she got kicked off the Watergate Commission.
    (BOOING)
    How corrupt do you have to be to get kicked off the Watergate Commission? Pretty corrupt. Hillary is, and has been, in politics since the 70s. What’s her pitch? The economy is busted? The government’s corrupt? Washington is failing? “Vote for me. I’ve been working on these problems for 30 years. I can fix it”, she says.
    I wasn’t really sure if Hillary was going to be here tonight, because I guess you didn’t send her invitation by email. Or, maybe, you did and she just found out about it through the wonder of WikiLeaks.
    (LAUGHTER)
    We’ve learned so much from WikiLeaks. For example, Hillary believes that it’s vital to deceive the people by having one public policy —
    (BOOING)
    — and a totally different policy in private. That’s okay. I don’t know who they’re angry at Hillary, you or I. For example, here she is tonight, in public, pretending not to hate Catholics.
    Now some of you haven’t noticed, Hillary isn’t laughing as much as the rest of us. That’s because she knows the jokes. And all of the jokes were given to her in advance of the dinner by Donna Brazile. Which is – everyone knows, of course, Hillary’s belief that it takes a village, which only makes sense after all in places like Haiti, where she’s taken a number of them.
    (BOOING)
    Thank you. I don’t know – and I don’t want this evening without saying something nice about my opponent. Hillary has been in Washington a long time. She knows a lot about how government works. And according to her sworn testimony Hillary has forgotten more things than most of us will ever, ever, ever know. That I can tell you.
    (BOOING)
    We’re having some fun here tonight and that’s good.
    On a personal note, what an amazing honor it is to be with all of you. And I want to congratulate Hillary on getting the nomination and we’re in there fighting and over the next 19 days somebody’s going to be chosen. We’ll see what happens. But I have great memories of coming to this dinner with my father over the years when I was a young man. Great experience for me.
    This was always a special experience for him and me to be together. One thing we can all agree on is the need to support the great work that comes out of the dinner. Millions of dollars have been raised to support disadvantaged children, and I applaud the many people who have worked to make this wonderful event a critical lifeline for children in need.
    (APPLAUSE)
    And that we together broke the all-time record tonight is really something special. More than $6 million net, net, net, net. The cardinal told me that’s net net, Donald, remember. We can also agree on the need to stand up to anti-Catholic bias, to defend religious liberty and to create a culture that celebrates life. America is in many ways divided …
    (APPLAUSE)
    Thank you. America is in many ways divided like it’s never been before. And the great religious leaders here tonight give us all an example that we can follow. We’re living in a time, an age that we never thought possible before. The vicious barbarism we read about in history books, but never thought we’d see it in our so-called modern- day world. Who would have thought we would be witnessing what we’re witnessing today.
    We’ve got to be very strong, very, very smart, and we’ve got to come together not only as a nation, but as a world community. Thank you very much, God bless you and God bless America. Thank you.
    (APPLAUSE)
    Thank you. Thank you very much.

    Liked by 1 person


    • “— and a totally different policy in private. That’s okay. I don’t know who they’re angry at Hillary, you or I. For example, here she is tonight, in public, pretending not to hate Catholics.
      Now some of you haven’t noticed, Hillary isn’t laughing as much as the rest of us. That’s because she knows the jokes. And all of the jokes were given to her in advance of the dinner by Donna Brazile. Which is – everyone knows, of course, Hillary’s belief that it takes a village, which only makes sense after all in places like Haiti, where she’s taken a number of them.”

      That was the moment it went from “We’re all elites having some fun and games la-da-da-di-da” to…

      Like


    • Brutal. Thanks for posting this. Plan for this weekend: watch full tape, sharpen pitchfork.

      Like


  35. The most accurate presidential poll in America, the IBD/TIPP poll, shows Trump wth a slim 1 point lead despite all of the crap the establishment has thrown at him.

    http://www.investors.com/politics/trumps-1-point-lead-holds-despite-debate-uproar-ibdtipp-poll/

    Like


  36. This just in Nate Silver just projected a 3 point win for Trump.

    Forget the headline read the data!
    http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-probably-finished-off-trump-last-night/

    He teases his real conclusion here ” That’s not to say that a polling miss is impossible. Our polls-only model still gives Trump a 14 percent chance and our polls-plus forecast a 17 percent chance, although that’s before accounting for any impact of last night’s debate or some of the other circumstances I’ve described.”

    As you can tell he is FORECASTING continued strength for Trump.

    but the real kicker is in the margin for polls trend. The trend is going First Debate to last at +35, +23, +13. As you can see the polls are narrowing the trend is for Trump to increase vs Clinton. These debates are spaced at 2 week intervals. But the election is actually 3 weeks from last debate! Three not two.

    What Nate is essentially forecasting is based on two week intervals so Clinton’s on track (for Nate) as another 10 point tightening but narrow victory for Clinton.

    But if you project another week the trend is Trump +3. So… we will see evidence of this by tightening of polls AND Clinton pundits saying “Narrow Victory for Killary is certain” in the coming weeks.

    However the trend is scary and you will know that the Clinton machine knows this because there will be something come out about Trump around the 25th. I’m guessing the Sunday the 23rd. Someone on the Meet the Depressed will tip off the “in the know” what the attack will be and by late Sunday “new tape” talk will surface. You can bet Clinton will not leave anything to chance.

    At least Trump is more on the ball that “deer in headlights” Romney.

    Liked by 2 people


  37. The polls these days remind me of that old joke:

    100% of Communist polls show 100% of the people to be happy with Communism and the Party.

    Like


    • Germans are the type of migrants we should be letting in here

      Like


    • The lugenpresse Der Spiegel puts it all down to economic opportunities…no mention of trash coming in/ white flight.
      They have no comments section to call out their bullshit.

      Like


  38. Media: “You’re going to need to accept the fact that Hillary is going to win the election — trust us, goyim — we’ve analyzed the data six ways from Shabbos and Trump has a negative 4% chance of winning.”

    Trump has a better chance of cameoing in another Home Alone movie with Macaulay Culkin—or playing in the NBA Finals—than winning the Republican nomination.”
    —Harry Enten, “Why Donald Trump Isn’t a Real Candidate, in One Chart,” FiveThirtyEight, June 16, 2015

    “At the end of the day, it’s quite possible that Donald Trump will get 11 percent in New Hampshire, but that might be his cap.”
    —Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Politico, June 24, 2015

    “Let’s start with this: Donald Trump is not going to be the Republican presidential nominee in 2016.”
    —Chris Cillizza, The Washington Post, July 12, 2015

    “Trump’s support will probably fade. Or at least, given his high unfavorable ratings, it will plateau, and other candidates will surpass him as the rest of the field consolidates.”
    —Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, July 20, 2015

    “There is no chance that Donald Trump is going to be nominated by the Republican Party as their presidential nominee.”
    —Ryan Lizza, Washington correspondent for The New Yorker, CNN Tonight, July 20, 2015

    “The Donald Trump candidacy is almost over. Don’t be fooled by Trump’s double-digit lead in a new poll: He is not going to win. . . . Donald Trump is not running a real campaign. . . . Soon, the bolder members of the field will follow Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Jeb Bush in making harder and more decisive strokes against him. Unlike Trump, they’ll use real oppo, tested, and targeted messages—ads built not just to cut, but to kill. They’ll break his operational tempo, get inside his OODA loop, and turn his circus into a crispy ruin. It’s what real campaigns do.”
    —Rick Wilson, Republican message and media strategist, Politico, July 22, 2015

    “[Trump’s] unfavorable ratings are extraordinarily high. So this is not a popular person. And people tend, in the end, to vote for people they like.”
    —Gerald Seib, Washington bureau chief of The Wall Street Journal, CBS News’ Face the Nation, July 26, 2015

    “Donald Trump will not be the Republican nominee, in almost—almost all certainty.”
    —John Heilemann, co-managing editor of Bloomberg Politics, CBS News’ Face the Nation, July 26, 2015

    JOHN BRABENDER, REPUBLICAN POLITICAL CONSULTANT: Donald Trump is not going to be the nominee. I’m telling you that right now. But . . .
    DON LEMON, HOST: How do you say that?
    BRABENDER: He’s not just going to be. My experience of doing this for 30 years. I’m just telling you he’s not going to be the nominee.
    —CNN Tonight, August 3, 2015

    “Trump’s campaign will fail by one means or another. . . . If you want absurd specificity, I recently estimated Trump’s chance of becoming the GOP nominee at 2 percent.”
    —Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, August 6, 2015

    “Let me go on the record saying this right now: Donald Trump will not be our next president. He won’t even be the GOP nominee. And I know, I know: We’ve underestimated him before. But still.”
    —Amber Phillips, The Washington Post, August 10, 2015

    “Our emphatic prediction is simply that Trump will not win the nomination. It’s not even clear that he’s trying to do so.”
    —Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, August 11, 2015

    Liked by 1 person


    • TL;DR version

      2015
      “Im a liberal manlet or (((skype))) and I dont like Trump so im gunna backwards rationalize a reason he will lose with flimsy anecdotal opinions because it makes me feel better”

      …a year later…

      “The polls show a tight race blah blah blah…”

      meh.

      Like


  39. Just imagine how sweet it will be to destroy the careers of people like (((Nate Silver, Bill Kristol, and Jake Tapper))), and drive Lady Gaga, Cher, and Michael Moore into suicidal seclusion. We’ve got to win this thing! But if we don’t, the motto for 2017 is: All War, All the Time. No, I don’t mean anything illegal you goons. Spiritual war.

    Like


  40. “Nobody remotely like Trump has won a major-party nomination in the modern era. . . . That adds up to Trump’s chances being higher than 0 but (considerably) less than 20 percent.”
    —Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight, November 23, 2015

    Like


  41. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-21/russia-wants-monitor-rigged-us-presidential-elections

    Russia is our last hope. Any questioning of evil will be shut down by the neocon government..

    Btw I stated it on here a couple weeks ago that Trump needed to bring the fight to them. Now the neocons are attacking Trump for questioning our democracy. He had plenty of opportunity to attack the media, Obama and Clinton for undermining our democracy. There is video proof so it is a no brainer. Unfortunately he let them set the frame. They should be ridiculed for undermining our democratic system and hiding corruption.

    Like


  42. Rumors circulating that a large group of armed police / soldiers outside of the Ecuadorean Embassy, unclear whether they are there to take Assange away or to protect the embassy or what.

    Frankly, it’s unclear Assange is even still in the embassy at this point.

    Also, reports of a widespread twatter outage (I haven’t been able to access it from the NYC area within the past 30 minutes).

    Did the globalist cabal just Shoah twatter in an attempt to prevent more Wikileaks from coming out?

    Like


  43. Ya lost me at “thecunt”, buddy.

    [CH: trust me, you were lost long before then.]

    Like


  44. I live in shitlib land…near DC…and Trump has given me the confidence to take the fight to them on the front lines.
    I’ve gotten into arguments, lost friends etc.
    But the thing that saddens me is that what we crave and are fighting for – they don’t give a fuck about.
    These liberal whites don’t give a damn about race or about America. What hurts us has no affect on them.

    They are not worth fighting for. If the Cunt wins I hope they suffer. I really do.

    Liked by 1 person


    • Let’s face it… if Hillary wins, this is No Country For White Men.

      I’m torn between living beneath the railway stations of Cologne or joining the Russian army.

      Like


      • What is the future that Libs imagine? The West is not going to be a powerhouse economy or be a first world place to live with Central Americans, Africans, Arabs coming in. Look at the countries they are coming from.
        The skypes will over see a shitty third world nation. How is that going to work?
        Very few skypes in South America because it is a shithole.
        I met a few wealthy people from Brazil – the 1% – who have to have bodyguards and are not free to travel to a lot of areas in their own cities.

        What world do liberals want? It just seems they are a suicide cult.
        I don’t understand it .

        Like


  45. Where does the scatter graph come from – what is the source?

    Like


  46. Trump dominating early voting in WI and is now the projected winner:

    http://wisconsinvote.org/election-results

    Also, kindly scroll down to “U.S. House District 1 – General” where you will see Paul Ryan getting BTFO.

    Like


    • Editor’s Note: Earlier, what appeared to be “live election results” were displayed on this website. These numbers weren’t actual voting returns, but instead were random numbers our election results provider was using to test their Election Day reporting software. These tests weren’t meant to be displayed, but were accidentally made available to be accessed. No real votes, including those cast via early absentee voting, will be counted in Wisconsin until polls close at 8 p.m. on Nov. 8. We apologize for any confusion this has caused. WisconsinVote.org will have actual live election results on the evening of Nov. 8.

      Like


  47. on October 23, 2016 at 3:32 pm CBR600RR_Rider

    Like


  48. Did you see Oprah telling Ape City you don’t need to like Granny to support HER? This Bush League is burning down already. How much fraud can you get away with before it stinks too much for the media to go out in public? Its getting way past that. The niggers be crying cause there ain’t no color on Granny’s ticket. Even Paine is way too White to be able to get those apes excited. Granny is so old, she don’t even get those wet noodles hard enough for a spoon. Trump doesn’t need excitement at this point. Granny has fallen in the polls and can’t get up. ABC only has her up by 12 points. ABC, the alphabet network that Math goes to die.

    Like


  49. Mainstream sites like Slate, Reddit, TheAtlantic going all out for the HillDog. Blather about Trump’s locker room talk and solicitation leading to greatest defeat of all time. Everyone agrees he’s worse than Stalin.

    Not a word about the real issues like unbalanced migration and population change. Don’t know who’s behind the scenes manipulating this coordinated propaganda.

    Like


  50. on October 24, 2016 at 12:23 pm Canadian Friend

    Sorry if this has been posted already,

    Assange/Wikileaks says they have a big surprise in store for Tim Kaine ( Hillary’s “vice president” ) and Donna Brazile ( the spokewoman for the DNC who said in an email she gets questions in advance, before debates, to help Hillary ).

    I can’t wait!!

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-21/assange-tweets-chilling-assessment-us-democracy-there-no-us-election-there-power-con

    Like


  51. Anyone see the thing about Merkel saying the polls by google are distorted?

    Like